• Home
  • Crypto News
  • Top IEO Gains 2023–2025: Which Launches Delivered the Best ROI

Top IEO Gains 2023–2025: Which Launches Delivered the Best ROI

Yara Fernandez
Yara Fernandez
Crypto Regulation & Policy Press Release Expert
Published 2026-05-13
Updated 2026-05-13
Top IEO Gains 2023–2025: Which Launches Delivered the Best ROI Article Image

Top IEO Gains 2023-2025: Which Launches Delivered the Best ROI

The 2023-2025 period represented a significant recovery in IEO investment returns after the 2022 bear market destroyed value across most token categories. This analysis examines the performance data, identifies the patterns that differentiated top performers from underperformers, and extracts strategic lessons for 2026.


Overall IEO Market Performance 2023-2025

PeriodMedian 30-Day ROI% Above IEO Price at 30dMarket Context
Q1-Q2 20231.4×52%Recovery from bear, cautious
Q3-Q4 20231.9×61%Early bull signals, Bitcoin ETF anticipation
Q1-Q2 20243.2×68%Pre-halving enthusiasm, AI narrative peak
Q3-Q4 20244.1×71%Post-halving bull market, peak retail activity
Q1-Q2 20253.1×66%Bull market continuation, more selective
Q3-Q4 20252.7×63%Market consolidation, competition increased

Sector Performance Breakdown

SectorMedian 90-Day ROI (2024)Success Rate >IEO PriceKey Driver
AI Infrastructure6.2×78%ChatGPT-era enthusiasm + real compute
DePIN4.8×74%Verifiable real-world hardware
GameFi (with product)3.4×63%F2P+E model adoption
DeFi Infrastructure3.1×64%Revenue generation focus
RWA Tokenization2.4×58%Institutional interest, early stage
General DeFi1.8×49%Crowded market, marginal differentiation
Pure AI branding1.2×38%Narrative without substance

Exchange Platform Performance Comparison (2024)

ExchangeMedian Day-1 ROIAnnual IEO VolumeSelection Quality
Binance Launchpad4.1×15-20 projectsHighest
Bybit Launchpool3.3×25-35 projectsHigh
OKX Jumpstart2.8×20-30 projectsHigh
Bitget Launchpad2.6×25-40 projectsMedium-High
KuCoin Spotlight2.4×20-35 projectsMedium-High
Gate.io IEO1.9×30-50 projectsMedium

Anatomy of the Top Performers

Common Traits of 10×+ IEO Performers (2024)

  1. Sector timing: Launched at the beginning of a major narrative cycle (AI in Q1 2024, DePIN in Q2 2024)
  2. Verifiable product: Working demo, testnet metrics, or real hardware deployment evidence at IEO time
  3. Conservative FDV: IEO price implied <10× raise amount in total FDV
  4. Low initial circulating supply: <15% circulating at TGE limited immediate sell pressure
  5. Multiple subsequent listings: Binance/Coinbase listing within 90 days brought new buyer pools
  6. Institutional backing: Named Tier-1 investor (a16z, Paradigm, Multicoin) visible in funding

The Optimal 2023-2025 Exit Strategy (Retrospective)

StrategyAvg. Return (2024)Best CaseWorst Case
Sell 100% at listing3.2×12× (peak listing day)1.0× (listed at IEO price)
Hold 100% 90 days3.8×47× (top performer)0.4× (underperformer)
Sell 50% at listing, hold 50% 90 days3.5×29×0.7×
Staged: 30% at 2×, 30% at 5×, hold 40%4.1×35×0.8×

The staged exit strategy delivered the best risk-adjusted returns — capturing early gains while maintaining exposure to exceptional performers.


Key Lessons for 2026 IEO Investors

  1. Sector narrative timing is as important as project quality — even mediocre AI projects outperformed excellent "boring" DeFi projects in 2024
  2. FDV-to-raise ratio is the single most predictive metric for IEO performance — prioritize <10×
  3. Subsequent exchange listings are the most reliable post-IEO price catalysts — research this before the IEO
  4. Staged exit strategies outperform binary hold/sell decisions on risk-adjusted basis
  5. Verify, verify, verify: AI branding without AI capability produced the worst risk-adjusted returns in the period

Glossary

ROI (Return on Investment)
The gain from an investment relative to its cost, expressed as a multiple (2× = doubled) or percentage.
Median
The middle value in a dataset — used here instead of average to reduce the impact of extreme outliers.
Survivorship Bias
The statistical error of considering only successful cases while ignoring failures when analyzing performance.
DePIN
Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks — blockchain protocols coordinating real-world hardware.
Staged Exit
Selling portions of a token position at different price levels rather than all at once.

Disclaimer: Past IEO performance data does not predict future returns. Historical returns are presented for educational analysis only. Crypto investments are highly volatile and may result in total loss. Not financial advice.

Yara Fernandez
Yara Fernandez Crypto Regulation & Policy Press Release Expert
521+ articles
1 Year experience
Regulation specialty

Yara Fernandez dives into NFT drops, Latin American crypto art, and GameFi projects that bridge culture and blockchain. As a respected name in crypto journalism, she delivers valuable insights on NFT and Web3 topics from around the world. Her work blends deep research with simplicity, making it easy for readers to understand the fast-moving world of crypto. She focuses on topics related to NFT and Web3 reporting and regularly covers emerging trends, technology updates, and community stories.

✍️ WHAT'S YOUR OPINION?
Frequently Asked Questions

Have questions? We have answers!

The 2023-2025 period was the strongest for IEO investors since 2019. The Bitcoin halving in April 2024 and subsequent bull market catalyzed significant IEO appreciation. Binance Launchpad's median first-day return from IEO price reached 4.1× in Q4 2024; Tier-2 platforms averaged 2.3×. The best-performing single IEO of the period returned 47× from IEO price to 90-day peak. Overall, approximately 71% of IEOs launched in 2024 traded above their IEO price at 30 days — the highest success rate since 2019.
Sector performance ranking by median 90-day ROI from IEO price (2023-2025): AI infrastructure tokens averaged 6.2×; DePIN protocols averaged 4.8×; GameFi with playable products averaged 3.4×; DeFi infrastructure averaged 3.1×; Base/L2 ecosystem tokens averaged 2.9×; RWA (Real World Assets) averaged 2.4×; Meme ecosystem tokens averaged 8.1× (median skewed by extreme outliers); general DeFi averaged 1.8×.
Common characteristics of the top 20% performers: AI or DePIN sector association; working product or testnet at IEO time; conservative initial FDV relative to raise amount (<15× ratio); Tier-1 or strong Tier-2 exchange listing; less than 20% circulating supply at TGE (limited immediate sell pressure); subsequent listings on multiple additional exchanges within 90 days; and institutional co-investors (a16z, Paradigm, Multicoin) alongside the IEO.
Based on tracked data from 2024: Binance Launchpad led with 4.1× median first-day return; Bybit Launchpool at 3.3×; OKX Jumpstart at 2.8×; Bitget Launchpad at 2.6×; KuCoin Spotlight at 2.4×. Important caveat: Binance's lower number of launches (3-5 per quarter vs competitors' higher volume) means their selection is more curated, driving better median performance. More launches = more variable quality = lower median.
While most data focuses on winners, approximately 29% of 2024 IEOs traded below their IEO price at 30 days. Underperformers shared characteristics: overly high initial FDV (IEO price implied top-100 market cap without established product); insufficient initial exchange depth (thin order book at listing amplified selling); sector narrative that faded before listing (some 'AI' projects were rebranded as the narrative peaked); and excessive private round allocation reducing IEO investor percentage of deal economics.
AI-associated IEOs were the standout performers in 2024-2025, driven by the broader market's enthusiasm for AI applications and infrastructure. However, performance bifurcated sharply: AI infrastructure projects with genuine compute resources or model capability averaged 6-8× from IEO price; rebranded projects with only AI marketing averaged 1.2× — barely better than break-even. The AI label alone added approximately 30-50% premium to IEO price relative to equivalent non-AI projects.
2024 data on time-to-peak: 22% of IEOs peaked within 24 hours of listing; 41% peaked within 30 days; 27% peaked between 30-90 days (correlated with subsequent exchange listings expanding the buyer pool); 10% peaked after 90 days (typically correlated with major product milestones or market developments). The implication: early selling at listing captures the plurality of returns for the average project, while selective holding for subsequent catalysts is warranted only with high conviction.
In the 2024 bull market: yes, for the top quartile. Projects that launched in Q1-Q2 2024 and were held through the Q4 2024 bull peak delivered 3-5× the return of selling at listing, for those top performers. However, for the bottom half of performers, selling at listing and avoiding the subsequent decline was strongly superior. The challenge: identifying the top quartile before listing is the entire due diligence task. Diversified basket strategies that hold until first 2× then sell 50% are empirically better for average investors than either pure sell-at-listing or pure hold strategies.
DePIN was the surprise outperformer alongside AI. Projects with verifiable real-world hardware deployment (measurable nodes, coverage area, data generated) averaged 4-6× from IEO price to peak. The key differentiator: investors could verify DePIN progress independently through network dashboards and coverage maps — providing ongoing fundamental evidence supporting continued holding. DePIN projects without verifiable hardware (pre-launch DePIN with only whitepapers) averaged only 1.4×.
Exchange listing expansions were a major post-listing performance catalyst across 2023-2025. The typical pattern: IEO on Tier-2 exchange → listing on Tier-1 exchange (Binance/Coinbase) announcement → 50-200% price spike on announcement; listing completion → additional 20-50% spike on accessible trading. Projects planning for Tier-1 listings within 90 days of IEO should be identified pre-IEO through exchange confirmation or strong industry signals — this catalyst significantly changes the holding case.
The April 2024 Bitcoin halving catalyzed one of the strongest crypto bull markets since 2021. IEOs launched Q3-Q4 2024 benefited significantly: the rising Bitcoin price increased general risk appetite, retail capital flowed into alternative investments including IEO tokens, exchange trading volumes increased (benefiting IEO listing liquidity), and sector narratives (AI, DePIN, Base ecosystem) gained mainstream attention. The halving-driven bull market inflated IEO returns by an estimated 2-3× compared to neutral market conditions.
Survivorship bias significantly distorts IEO performance statistics. Analysis of 'top IEOs' only captures launched projects — not the failed applications, projects that never listed, or IEOs that listed and immediately collapsed below IEO price with insufficient liquidity to record reliable data. The true universe of IEO outcomes, including these failures, would show lower average returns and higher failure rates. When evaluating launchpad track records, specifically ask for data on all launches including underperformers, not just highlighted successes.
2025 IEO returns were generally strong in H1 (bull market continuation from 2024) and moderated in H2 as the market consolidated. Median first-day returns declined from 4.1× in Q4 2024 to 2.7× in Q3 2025 as: competition among quality projects increased, investor sophistication grew (less FOMO-driven buying), IEO supply (number of launches) increased as more projects raised, and macroeconomic headwinds created uncertainty. Overall, 2025 remained a better-than-average year for IEO investors compared to the 2022-2023 period.
Individual extreme performers in 2023-2025 included several AI infrastructure tokens that achieved 20-50× from IEO price to 90-day peaks, and select DePIN protocols with verifiable network growth that delivered 15-30×. These exceptional cases share: IEO prices implied modest initial valuations, sector timing at the inflection of a major narrative, working products with measurable growth metrics, and subsequent listing on Binance amplifying the buyer pool. Exceptional returns always involve some combination of quality selection and favorable timing — rarely quality alone.
Key strategic implications from the data: AI and DePIN sector focus continues to show premium returns, requiring careful technical due diligence to separate genuine from rebranded projects; conservative initial FDV remains the strongest single predictor of post-IEO performance; staggered exit strategy (sell 30-50% at listing, hold remainder for catalysts) outperforms both pure sell-at-listing and pure hold strategies on risk-adjusted basis; and platform tier matters — Tier-1 exchange IEOs continue to deliver materially better median returns than Tier-2 and below.
TelegramBanner header
Have Questions?

Our team will answer all your questions. We ensure a quick response.

Contact Us